Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.001793 0.001967 0.002141 0.002329 0.002524 0.002722 0.002937
2024-12-15 0.001525 0.001778 0.002039 0.002328 0.002635 0.002953 0.003304
2024-12-22 0.001332 0.001647 0.001980 0.002357 0.002768 0.003198 0.003682
2024-12-29 0.001177 0.001543 0.001940 0.002398 0.002906 0.003446 0.004061
2025-01-05 0.001038 0.001443 0.001895 0.002426 0.003024 0.003670 0.004412
2025-01-12 0.000901 0.001334 0.001831 0.002426 0.003107 0.003851 0.004714
2025-01-19 0.000767 0.001217 0.001748 0.002397 0.003151 0.003985 0.004961
2025-01-26 0.000671 0.001138 0.001704 0.002408 0.003237 0.004162 0.005255
2025-02-02 0.000588 0.001068 0.001665 0.002421 0.003322 0.004336 0.005543
2025-02-09 0.000541 0.001040 0.001675 0.002490 0.003470 0.004581 0.005909
2025-02-16 0.000518 0.001043 0.001722 0.002602 0.003668 0.004883 0.006340
2025-02-23 0.000410 0.000916 0.001596 0.002497 0.003605 0.004880 0.006421
2025-03-02 0.000331 0.000825 0.001515 0.002448 0.003610 0.004960 0.006603
2025-03-09 0.000281 0.000774 0.001483 0.002459 0.003688 0.005124 0.006881
2025-03-16 0.000246 0.000741 0.001474 0.002498 0.003798 0.005327 0.007204
2025-03-23 0.000217 0.000715 0.001473 0.002546 0.003919 0.005541 0.007541
2025-03-30 0.000186 0.000683 0.001462 0.002579 0.004020 0.005731 0.007850
2025-04-06 0.000153 0.000639 0.001430 0.002582 0.004082 0.005875 0.008103
2025-04-13 0.000117 0.000583 0.001376 0.002554 0.004104 0.005968 0.008295
2025-04-20 0.000094 0.000549 0.001353 0.002567 0.004176 0.006121 0.008557
2025-04-27 0.000074 0.000518 0.001333 0.002581 0.004248 0.006274 0.008820
2025-05-04 0.000066 0.000514 0.001355 0.002653 0.004395 0.006517 0.009188
2025-05-11 0.000065 0.000529 0.001408 0.002769 0.004599 0.006830 0.009640